Controversial geologist says Marcellus Shale drilling less profitable than believed and that wells may "decline so fast that you never stop drilling."
If geologist Arthur Burman's math is right, Marcellus Shale wells will devlier less gas than expected. That means, he says, "you never stop drilling."
Controversial geologist says Marcellus Shale drilling less profitable than believed and that wells may "decline so fast that you never stop drilling."

In my piece in this week's City Paper, lone-wolf geologist Arthur Berman — one of the sources for the recent NY Times piece citing disputes within the energy industry over whether shale drilling is actually profitable — describes how he came to believe that gas companies are understating their cost and overstating their profits.
How — given the thousands of Marcellus Shale wells that have been drilled already in Pennyslvania — can that be?
For one thing, Berman says, some drilling activity is taking place simply in order for drillers to preserve their leases, which often contain clauses reverting the land back to the owner if production doesn't begin.
Indeed, Chesapeake Energy CEO Aubrey McClendon told the Inquirer last year that: "Half of our drilling is kind of nonvoluntary in the sense that we're drilling to hold leases, not drilling because we think $4 is a great gas price."
Berman also argues that gas companies may have overestimated (or, to be less generous, exaggerated) the amount of gas an individual well will actually produce before it ceases to be economically useful. Berman suspects the wells are drying up quicker than previously thought.
If that's the case, he says, "the drilling never stops ... Our findings say … that the wells decline so fast that you never stop drilling. You have to continue at the rate you’re drilling now."
Berman, who maintains the blog Petrolium Truth Report, is a controversial figure, and one of the first (if not the first) experts to challenge the economic model of shale gas drilling.
You can read my full story on Berman and his findings here.
Great article. People also need to know how dangerous drilling for gas is to our water supply. My father's gas tank on our tobacco farm in NC ruined our water supply. Just think what would happen if one of these drills caused gas to flow into our drinking water here in Philadelphia. drjeanette
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