YOU MAKE THE CALL: Philadelphia Phillies 2010 season preview/predictatron

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YOU MAKE THE CALL: Philadelphia Phillies 2010 season preview/predictatron

POSTED: Friday, March 26, 2010, 6:57 PM
It's that time of year, people. With opening day on April 5, as part of a long-standing tradition here at 2 and Chestnut, we're asking you to predict the Phillies overall record (remember, there are 162 regular season games) and what they'll do in the post-season should they make it that far. There is nothing at stake other than supreme bragging rights, of course. So let's have at it. But first, consider, The positives:
  • This will be the Phillies first season with opening-day starter/bona-fide ace Roy Halladay. Do you remember who the Phils' OD starter was the last three years? Yup, Brett F. Myers. Barring injury (knocks on wood), this'll be the first time since the Schilling years that the Phils have had a hands-down No. 1 starter. And he'll be followed by a guy in Cole Hamels with the potential to be a No. 1a.
  • Legit contact hitter Placido Polanco will be batting second and will ostensibly add "productive outs" to the lineup's repertoire.
  • Moving Shane Victorino to the bottom of the order provides something like a secondary lead-off hitter to the bottom of the lineup.
  • The additions of Danys Baez and Jose Contreras to the bullpen provide depth and experience (though quality is not a given).
The negatives:
  • The competition for the fifth spot in the rotation is between a 47-year-old who spent much of the offseason in the hospital and a 25-year-old with a high hit rate and a low strike-out rate
  • The first lefty out of the bullpen until/if J.C. Romero is healthy (other than Moyer if he doesn't win the fifth starter job) is Antonio Bastardo, who is talented and has an awesome name, but is very very raw.
  • Brad Lidge remains the biggest X factor on the team.
  • Ryan Howard, Chase Utley and Jimmy Rollins are all a 365 days further into their "peak" years than they were last spring.
  • Ruben Amaro's propensity lock up with guaranteed contracts players he doesn't need to lock up and for more money than the market's calling for (Brian Schneider, Juan Castro, Ross Gload, Ibáñez, Polanco) may have cost the Phillies the opportunity to go into 2010 with Hallady, Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels in the top three spots in the rotation.
The intangibles: In the NL:
  • The Mets remain a mess, or, if you'd rather, the Mets remain the Mets.
  • The Braves will start 20-year-old super prospect Jason Heyward in their outfield this season and have added former Phillie/Phillies punching bag Billy Wagner to close
  • The Marlins young pitching is always terrifying.
  • The Cardinals inked mid-season aquisition Matt Holliday and... Brad Penny
In the AL:
  • The Yankees have bolstered their 2009 juggernaut by adding OBP machine/walking injury Nick Johnson, 20/20 threat Curtis Granderson and starting pitcher Javier Vazquez (who, it should be noted, has already flamed out as a Yankee once).
  • The Red Sox have added perpetual enigma Adrian Beltre, Mike Cameron and Marco Scutaro to their lineup and Angels ace John Lackey to hold down the No. 3 spot in the rotation
  • The Mariners now have what could be the best 1-2 pitching punch in baseball with Felix Hernandez and Cliff Lee in addition to adding Chone Figgins, Milton Bradley and Casey Kotchman.
So let's have it? What's the Phils' record gonna be this season? I'll star the guessing at 96-66 with a World Series win over the Red Sox. What say you?

Brian Howard
Posted 2010-03-26 17:22:19
This just in from 
Brian Hickey:
94-68.
They lose in the NLCS to the Cubs, in seven. D. Lee over Hamels. 
And the Cubs go on to get swept by the fucking Yankees.

Mark Concannon
Posted 2010-03-26 16:22:51
I say 93

THE CURATOR: Enviro-friendly cards, handmade books and Phillies! :: Critical Mass :: A&E Blog :: Philadelphia City Paper
Posted 2010-03-30 15:58:35
[...] into its crystal Rawlings ball and offers up its forecast. CPÂ’s head honcho Brian Howard also has some predictions of his own.   Tags: Amy Orr, apple, Ben Woodward, Jason Hsu, Leah Mackin, mac store, space 1026  THE CURATOR: [...] 
Posted by Brian Howard @ 6:57 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
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