Archive: October, 2010

POSTED: Wednesday, October 6, 2010, 5:40 PM
Evan Lopez

Today, 47 big-shot mayors and commissioners from around the state — mostly Democrats, as far as I can tell — wrote a letter to gubernatorial candidate Tom Corbett, asking him to rethink his opposition to a Marcellus Shale severance tax. And true, he should. As his Democratic foe Dan Onorato points out in a press release, though, Common Cause Pennsylvania found that Corbett is the "No. 1 Pennsylvania recipient of contributions from the gas industry over the last decade" — meaning it's unlikely he'll do a 180 anytime soon. What Onorato fails to mention in the press release, however, is that he's also taken a good amount of campaign contributions from the gas industry himself — at least $74,000 — as have many other Democrats. (During the gubernatorial primary election, Montgomery County commissioner Joe Hoeffel was the only Dem who vowed to not take any donations from Shale drillers.)

Anyway, check out the letter:

October 6, 2010

Tom Corbett
Corbett for Governor
200 North Third Street, 13th Floor
Harrisburg, PA 17101

Dear Mr. Corbett:

As locally elected officials from across the state, we believe the Marcellus Shale is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for Pennsylvania. We can grow our economy, create local jobs and preserve our natural resources — but only if it's done right.

But your plan will protect Big Oil & Gas at the expense of taxpayers in our communities, and we are writing to ask you to start putting Pennsylvania taxpayers first.

In the towns, cities and counties that many of us are elected to serve, we are already seeing wear-and-tear on our roads as a result of the heavy equipment that the industry requires. We don't want our taxpayers to be stuck with the bill to fix these infrastructure challenges.

And for all of us — those in the Marcellus Shale region and those outside it — protecting the drinking water of the families in our communities is a top priority and a deep concern. We need proper oversight so that our water is safe to drink and our rivers are not polluted.

As the Pennsylvania Land Trust Association recently reported, over the last 2 1/2 years, drilling companies have been cited for 1,500 environmental and safety violations in Pennsylvania. The Pennsylvania State Police have found “significant increases in heavy truck traffic in areas where Marcellus Shale natural gas drilling operations are taking place” — and in one 3-day enforcement period this summer, they ordered 250 vehicles to be taken off the road and kept out of service. The oil and gas industry cannot be allowed to police itself.

This does not have to be a partisan issue. Many Republicans — including the Senate Republican leadership and 12 members of the House Republican caucus — agree that there should be a severance tax, just like every other major gas-producing state already has.

Please put Pennsylvania's taxpayers first and do not leave us — and our tax-paying constituents — to pay for all the costs while the gas drillers make hundreds of millions of dollars from our natural resources.

There's a common-sense approach that will enable us to develop the potential of the Marcellus Shale and protect Pennsylvania's taxpayers. We hope you will stop sticking up for your Big Oil & Gas donors and instead look out for Pennsylvania taxpayers.

(List of Signers After the Jump)

Local-Elected Officials Signing Letter to Tom Corbett


Phil Krivacek, Mayor

Duquesne (Allegheny County)


Rich Hrivnak, Mayor

Plum (Allegheny County)


Dominick Pomposelli, Mayor

Wilmerding (Allegheny County)


John Dindak, Mayor

West Homestead (Allegheny County)


Don Baumgarten, Mayor

Castle Shannon (Allegheny County)


John Thompson, Mayor

Wilkinsburg (Allegheny County)


Mark Vogel, Mayor

Braddock Hills (Allegheny County)


Louis Payne, Mayor

East Pittsburgh (Allegheny County)


Greg Erosenko, Mayor

Monroeville (Allegheny County)


Nicholas Yanosich, Mayor

Industry (Beaver County)


Debbie Giska Rose, Mayor

Conway (Beaver County)


Francis Szatkiewicz, Mayor

Ohioville (Beaver County)


Diane Ellis-Marseglia, Commissioner

Bucks County


Thomas Trigona, Mayor

Johnstown (Cambria County)


Bill O'Gurek, Commissioner

Carbon County


Kathi Cozzone, Commissioner

Chester County


Josh Maxwell, Mayor

Downingtown (Chester County)


Leo Scoda, Mayor

Phoenixville (Chester County)


Carolyn Committa, Mayor

West Chester (Chester County)


Mark McCracken, Commissioner

Clearfield County


Richard P. Viello Jr., Mayor

Lock Haven (Clinton County)


Joel Long, Commissioner

Clinton County


C. Sherman Allen, Commissioner

Crawford County


George Hartwick, Commissioner

Dauphin County


Jayne Young, Mayor

Lansdowne (Delaware County)


Ronald Beimel, Commissioner

Elk County


Blair Zimmerman, Mayor

Waynesburg (Greene County)


Jeffrey Pisarcik, Commissioner

Jefferson County


Mike Washo, Commissioner

Lackawanna County


Corey O'Brien, Commissioner

Lackawanna County


Rick DeBlasio, Commissioner

Lawrence County


Steve Craig, Commissioner

Lawrence County


Ed Pawlowski, Mayor

Allentown (Lehigh County)


Mary Anne Petrilla, Commissioner

Luzerne County


Tom Leighton, Mayor

Wilkes-Barre (Luzerne County)


Judith Church, Commissioner

McKean County


Bonnie Heath, Mayor

Pottstown (Montgomery County)


Joe Hoeffel, Commissioner

Montgomery County


John Stoffa, County Executive

Northampton County


Sal Panto, Mayor

Easton (Northampton County)


Mantura Gallagher, Commissioner

Schuylkill County


Francis McAndrew, Commissioner

Schuylkill County


Pamela Tokar-Ickes, Commissioner

Somerset County


MaryAnn Warren, Commissioner

Susquehanna County


Bracken Burns, Commissioner

Washington County


John Lignelli, Mayor

Donora (Washington County)


Tom Balya, Commissioner

Westmoreland County


  47 state mayors and commissioners tell Corbett to ?put Pa. taxpayers first? – Philadelphia Citypaper (blog) by Car Truck Motorcycle Accident Lawyers
Posted 2010-10-25 23:02:20
[...] 47 state mayors and commissioners tell Corbett to ?put Pa. taxpayers first?Philadelphia Citypaper (blog) [...] 

Long List Of Candidates To Be Connecticut Insurance Commissioner, Including At Least One State Official | online car insurance
Posted 2010-11-27 14:28:06
[...] 47 state mayors and commissioners tell Corbett to “put Pa … [...] 
Posted by Holly Otterbein @ 5:40 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Tuesday, October 5, 2010, 9:31 PM

This afternoon, the state Senate passed — without debate, without a public hearing, and with a single dissenting vote — the insidious SB 1469, which will basically allow local governments to slink further away from the spirit of the hard-fought Right to Know Act the legislature passed in 2008. And seeing how our own city leaders handle public records requests, this is not at all confidence inspiring. Among other things, this bill will allow the fine folks at City Hall and other local agencies to charge you up to 12 1/2 cents per page just to look — not to copy, but to look — at public records.

Want to take a gander at, say, the city's contracts with its labor unions? Or maybe a city budget? How about some personnel files, or the Internal Affairs files of dirty cops? Bring your checkbook: Those things can run into the hundreds of pages. And that's exactly the point, despite Senate Majority Leader Dominic Pileggi's disingenuous claim that this bill would only address procedural problems, or whatever.

Another “procedural problem”: The bill would also narrow the citizenry's ability to obtain records about government contractors — you know, like the kind the state recently contracted with the spy on activists.

The bill now goes to the House, which is also considering its own affront to the Right to Know Act, a bill that would exempt government workers' dates of birth and home addresses from public records, as Social Security numbers are already exempted. Of course, these are also the types of info newspapers often use to sort out different people with the same name. As Deborah Musselman, director of government affairs at the Pennsylvania Newspaper Association, tells us, “Eliminating these identifiers from public view could result in an innocent person being wrongly associated with criminal case records.”

The House bill is currently in appropriations. Hopefully it stays there. And hopefully the House — which has had more than its share of corruption problems of late — recognizes that the last thing this state needs is a weakened public records law, and dumps this thing. OK, maybe we keep the good parts of the bill, like the part the requires state agencies to produce records in the requested format, and the part that expands access to drafts prepared at public meetings. But the rest of it needs to go.

Sunshine, as they say, is the best disinfectant; sadly, our leaders are all too happy to live in the shadows.

More on this in A Million Stories this week.

*With reporting by Holly Otterbein.


Gabby
Posted 2010-10-06 08:23:29
Getting to public records in Philly is already a sad joke. This is FUBAR.
Posted by Jeffrey Billman @ 9:31 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Tuesday, October 5, 2010, 3:48 PM
Filed Under: Nation | News

It's not that we don't enjoy calling up Pat Toomey's peeps, being put on hold and listening to that goddamn piano music over and over again. It's not that at all. And it's pretty standard for those of us in the media to put in repeated calls to get spokespeople to comment. They're busy folks, after all. But all we're looking for here is a simple yea or nay. Really, this shouldn't be that difficult.

We called Toomey's press office two weeks ago to find out where he stood on the defense reauthorization bill that would have also repealed Don't Ask, Don't Tell — you know, the one that Republicans filibustered, because they hate the troops (especially the gay ones). We also wanted to know how he would've voted on the Creating American Jobs and Ending Offshoring Act, which would raise taxes on companies that outsource employees and give tax breaks to those who employ Americans. This, too, was filibustered by the Senate GOP.

Most of the time we had conversations with answering machines, and nobody bothered to ring us back (rude!). When we were fortunate enough to make contact with an actual human being, we got the runaround (“I'm … in the middle of something … can I call you back?”). After a week of this nonsense, we set our sights on Toomey's Communications Director Nachama Soloveichik, since Deputy Communications Director Kristin Anderson didn't want to answer our very simple questions.

In all, it's been two weeks now, and still nothing. What are his people so afraid of? It's not like Toomey's conservatism on gay issues is a secret. The man has demonstrable anti-gay record. He's opposed federal hate crime laws and gay marriage. On the other hand, two months ago he published an op-ed in the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette in which, in the course of opining against Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan, he said he supported the repeal of DADT. But would he have bent to his party masters and found some flimsy excuse to join the filibuster?

As for the other legislation, well, Toomey has spent his entire career in Washington and as president of Club for Growth lobbying for less regulation and fewer taxes for billionaires and Wall Street firms, so it's not a stretch to surmise that he's oppose tax breaks for companies who hire workers stateside, and don't pay Indonesian children seven cents an hour to manufacture the trinkets they sell in flyover-country Walmarts at a bajillion percent mark-up. It's not like he hasn't been a fan of outsourcing before. (We're not the only ones wondering.)

So why won't he just come out and say it?

We also wanted to ask Toomey about comments made Friday by his BFF Jim DeMint — the extremist South Carolina senator who Toomey both recommended as a GOP vice presidential nominee (see The Hill, June 2008) and declared him “exactly the kind of leader the GOP could use at this low point in its history” in 2008 — that gays and lesbians and unmarried pregnant women “shouldn't be in the classroom.” See, DeMint offered very similar comments in 2004 on “openly” GLBTQ folks being disallowed from teaching because they might spread the gay or whatever, long before Toomey said he was the greatest thing since sliced bread.

Hey, what do you know? Another no comment.


william healy
Posted 2010-10-05 18:03:33
No surprise there, when NPR interviewed him on Saturday the 30th of September, when it came time to answer listeners questions he had to go, quickly, before anyone could ask him a question he didn't want to answer, much like he does't advertise where he will be making a campaign appearance and only sychophants that kiss his rear are welcome on his facebook page and web site. He's a spineless coward, who can't defend his indefensible votes in Congress or what he would do if the citizens of Pa. are dumb enough to (shudder at the thought) elect him as Senator. Joe Sestak is far and away the best choice to represent us in the Senate.

Budget Hotel London – Recommendation required.?
Posted 2010-10-06 04:33:25
[...] Hey Toomey: Answer the damn questions :: The Clog :: Blog Archive :: Staff Blog :: Philadelphia City... [...] 

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[...] Hey Toomey: Answer the damn questions :: The Clog :: Blog Archive :: Staff Blog :: Philadelphia City... [...] 

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Posted by Juliana Reyes @ 3:48 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Tuesday, October 5, 2010, 2:56 AM
Filed Under: Sporting Life | Flyered Up!
Posted by Patrick Rapa @ 2:56 AM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Monday, October 4, 2010, 10:40 PM
Filed Under: CP in the Community | Nation | News

So, remember that post about The Roots doing the Obama rally I threw up this morning? In describing the awesomeness of The Roots, which is considerable, I used a certain bad word — a word so terrible that it is considered a “bomb,” and is deeply offensive to everyone who hears it, even though it is rather frequently used in our amoral society; this word also happens to be among the most flexible in the English language, and can be a noun, a verb or an adjective, or perhaps all three in one sentence (“[WORD] you, you [WORD]ing [WORD]”); a word that may date all the way back to ancient Germanic translations of the act of love (fiken) or the Swedish word for male genitalia (fock), perhaps even to the Latin fÅ«tuere or the Greek pephyka. And while I (and anyone with a modicum of decent musical taste) stand by my description of The Roots' awesomeness, which again, is considerable, that one little word seems to have cause quite a stir.

The Democratic National Committee, in making its official e-mail announcement about the event, including the text of my little blog post — which included the aforementioned naughty word. Fox News is on the DNC's e-mail list. You can see where this is going.

The Democratic National Committee is promoting an upcoming rally for President Obama by sending out a blog that touts the musical act preceding him as "f---ing awesome.” A DNC spokesman blasted out an e-mail alert Monday that included a post from the Philadelphia City Paper's website. The paper reported that hometown heroes The Roots would be performing at Obama's Oct. 10 rally in Philadelphia. "You heard it here first: Just got word from a Democratic source that The Roots, who campaigned for Obama in 2008 and are f---ing awesome, will perform next Sunday as part of President Obama's Move America Forward Rally," the City Paper reported without editing the explicit language.

Ugh. Sorry, Mom.

Anyway. Let's go to the comments, where I'm sure the superbly intelligent readers of Fox News' website will handle this very important "news" story (someone let me know this thing makes Hannity tonight) with characteristic grace, tact and not-racistness:

johndeagun: Obama playing to the bros cause no one else is stupid enough to vote for him..... pants on the floor

flicker66: Speaking of Obama "You can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear. Right from the begining he has been uncouth, displayed the lack of refinement and demonstrated how ill mannered he really is.

velva: Another sad commentary on the morals of our times. When people use terms like this it just proves their ignorance and lack of vocabulary. When will we have a civil society again? I hope very soon, because the language being used in this day and age is sickening, to me. I was disgusted when Obama made jokes about Emanuel's cursing. I think it's a sign of ignorance and a lack of respect.

john_q_militia: You can put lipstick on a turd, but its still Obama.

sooner58: Yes, I agree.......Michelle looks no better in lipstick!!
sunsu12: The rap group (roots) picked to perform at the bobo rally. I was going to post some of the lyrics from this "band" but I couldn't. Anyone want to guess why? Check them.....http://www.elyrics.net/song/r/roots-lyrics.html
sooner58: Yes, this, so called band, is what the "New Democrat/Communist/Marxist/Socialist Party" loves to listen to. This is the kind of "DOPE AND CHANGE" that the Democrat Party is hoping to help get their "little Commie's" off their couch and out to vote.......

Larry W
Posted 2010-10-04 19:49:19
It was really, really sad more so for the fact that they were grasping at straws than anything else.

Jen
Posted 2010-10-05 10:51:04
Not being a prude here, but I don't see the need for F-bombs and other inappropriate language in your articles, which has been a regular staple of your articles since you arrived.

J
Posted 2010-10-05 11:08:17
Harmless emphasis; that's all it is.



Everyone grow up. It's just a fucking word. ;)

Moura
Posted 2010-10-05 12:47:13
More importantly, where can I get that t-shirt??

Wanted | South Of South (SOS)
Posted 2010-10-05 12:51:08
[...] The t-shirt in the photo on this post: http://citypaper.net/blogs/clog/2010/10/04/fox-news-does-not-approve-of-my-potty-mouth/ [...] 

G
Posted 2010-10-05 14:05:01
did you really just comment on your own article?? let the readers have their say.

Larry
Posted 2010-10-05 14:16:47
Took me 1 minute of google searcing. ;)



http://www.bant-shirts.com/fk-news-t-shirt.htm

Five apples
Posted 2010-10-05 14:57:51
I think cursing in an article is a bit immature.  It adds no value to the story and only helps to offend people who are a little sensitive to such things.  You might not thing it is a bad and offensive word, but many people do.

B
Posted 2010-10-05 19:17:53
It's funny that the 'sensitive' posters on the FOX 'News' site have no aversion to racism. Why is cursing offensive when used to display a deeply held conviction? At times, it's effective, concise, and unabashedly honest. If only the detractors on the Fox site could be as honest about why they've taken offense.
Posted by Jeffrey Billman @ 10:40 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Monday, October 4, 2010, 10:28 PM
Filed Under: Casinos | News | Under the Table

Eleven people, including lobbyists, casino operators and 4 Alabama state senators, have been indicted for a "conspiracy" to help pass favorable legislation in exchange for campaign contributions and other campaign help – like the appearance of country music stars at rallies.

According to the indictment, which you can read in its entirety here:

Alabama State legislators and legislative staff, as agents of the State of Alabama, corruptly solicited, demanded, accepted and agreed to accept money and things of value from defendants and others, intending to be influenced and rewarded in connection with pro-gambling legislation.

What's most striking about the alleged crime is, well, how un-striking it really is – especially by the standards of Pennsylvania.

Our Great Commonwealth places almost no limits whatsoever on campaign contributions.

The key notion in these allegations, of course, is that the politicians "corruptly" accepted money and things of value, "intending to be influenced."

In Pennsylvania, politicians – Democrats especially – have received vast amounts of money from pro-gambling interests, and have voted favorably for all kinds of concessions to casinos – their legalization, of course, but also such goodies as the ability to extend credit to slots players (a nicety packed quietly into the recent table games bill).

It's all perfectly legal – as long as those politicians don't "intend to be influenced" by the wads of money they receive.

I'm reminded in particular of the case of lobbyist Stephen Wojdak, which I wrote about during the table games debate last winter. Wojdak, a powerful lobbyist said to have a hand in all legislation casino-related, and who represents several casinos, controls a political action committee which has given generously to Harrisburg lawmakers.

As the table games legislation was being drafted, an obscure clause appeared in it that would favor one casino venture, that he represented, over another. Asked if he held any interest in the favored casino, Wojdak did not reply to several inquiries.

I should emphasize that I'm not implying any crime here. On the contrary: I'm implying this kind of stuff is business as usual.

Posted by Isaiah Thompson @ 10:28 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Monday, October 4, 2010, 7:53 PM

I can't vouch for the credibility of WalletPop or Neighborhood Scout or the methodology they're using, but I'll pass this along, anyway:

For the second year in a row, using exclusive data developed by Dr. Andrew Schiller's team at NeighborhoodScout.com, and based on FBI data from all 17,000 local law enforcement agencies, WalletPop reveals the top 25 most dangerous neighborhoods with the highest predicted rates of violent crime in America.

No. 1 is a hood in Chicago. No. 2, Cleveland. Nos. 3 and 4 (and 8), Las Vegas (who knew?). No. 5, the ATL.

And then there's No. 6: North 13th Street, or more specifically, the area bounded by Green Street to the south, Poplar to the north, Broad Street to the west, and 10th Street to the east. According to NeighborhoodScout, this 'hood has a median home value of $101, 973; according to WallePop, you have a 1 in 9 shot (pun unintentional) of being a victim of violent crime here in a year. (That's compared to a 1 in 19 shot citywide, which, let's be honest, is still a bit frightening.) Other thing worth noting: 92 percent of the nation's school districts are rated as being better than ours.

Yikes.

Missing? The Badlands, which has either cleaned up its act (relatively speaking) — and is now less dangerous than No. 25, a neighborhood in my old home of Orlando called Parramore (which is, unsurprisingly if you're familiar with how these things are done in the south, a mostly black neighborhood named after a Confederate general) — or WalletPop just overlooked it.


brendancalling
Posted 2010-10-04 15:50:24
that's kinda interesting.  I've been at 12th and Green every tuesday night at a bar called the institute for the past 4 months or so and have never seen anything remotely scary.

Joel
Posted 2010-10-04 16:02:23
I was in a bike accident last year on 12th and Brown and the neighbors there were very friendly and caring. They helped me up and even called an ambulance. However I had to leave my bike there overnight. When I came back the next morning, after just one night!, it had been completely ransacked for parts

vincent
Posted 2010-10-04 23:20:22
surprised the area northwest of temple isn't listed

craig
Posted 2010-10-12 20:10:19
that is absurd. there is no way in hell that that area is nearly as bad as almst any block in the "badlands". total bullshit. whoever made this list must be referencing some faulty statistics, or just talking directly out of their own ass. just go to sommerset and any of the lettered streets. it's like a ghost town, with junky apparitions floating up and down the streets like plastic bags on a windy day. the only people in sight are either copping or selling dope, and when that sun sets on that narcotic wonderland, gun shots ring out like satans dinerbell. vegas? i'm sure theres a place like that in nevada, right next to the field of money tress and the office for free health care

Patrick
Posted 2010-10-13 12:16:14
This owes to the PHA housing sites in the area, managed out of John F. Street Community Center at 11th & Poplar -- Richard Allen & Cambridge Mall.  

Obviously this isn't one of the most dangerous neighborhoods in Philadelphia, but if the neighborhood list was compiled using federal crime statistics serious home crimes like manufacturing of drugs et al. are much more likely to be represented in a 'slum' with management than without.  Methodologies used for these sorts of analysis (apples & oranges) are almost always flawed.
Posted by Jeffrey Billman @ 7:53 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Monday, October 4, 2010, 11:00 AM
Filed Under: Nation | News

You heard it here first: Just got word from a Democratic source that The Roots, who campaigned for Obama in 2008 and are fucking awesome, will perform next Sunday as part of President Obama's Move America Forward Rally. There should be an official announcement (and consequently more details) later tonight. For now, though, here's the info on the rally itself. Oh, and you can get a head start on everyone and RSVP here:

What: Moving America Forward Rally with

President Barack Obama

Where: Park next to Robert Fulton Elementary School
60 E. Haines Street
Philadelphia, PA 19144

When: Sunday, October 10th
Doors open: 3:00 p.m.
Program begins: 4:00 p.m.


The Roots to open for headliner Barack Obama this weekend | The Key
Posted 2010-10-04 13:50:07
[...] Fulton Elementary School that much more of a can’t-miss show. As originally reported by The Clog earlier this morning, The Roots will open the show, which begins at 3 p.m.; tickets will most [...] 

DNC Uses F-Bomb Review to Promote Upcoming Obama Rally | Jessalynallie's Blog
Posted 2010-10-04 14:54:23
[...] DNC spokesman blasted out an e-mail alert Monday that included a post from thePhiladelphia City Paper’s website. The paper reported that hometown heroes The Roots would be performing at Obama’s Oct. 10 [...] 

Larry
Posted 2010-10-04 16:45:07
LOL! Dude, FOX NEWS reported that this was picked-up by the DNC.



YOU'RE FAMOUS! :D

Fox News does not approve of my potty-mouth. :: The Clog :: Blog Archive :: Staff Blog :: Philadelphia City Paper
Posted 2010-10-04 17:40:32
[...] remember that post about The Roots doing the Obama rally I threw up this morning? In describing the awesomeness of The Roots, which is considerable, I used [...] 

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Posted 2010-10-09 00:27:03
[...] BREAKING: T&#1211&#1077 Roots (!) t&#959 play Obama’s appearance &#1110&#1495 NW Philly next S... [...] 
Posted by Jeffrey Billman @ 11:00 AM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Saturday, October 2, 2010, 4:14 PM
Filed Under: MUST READ | Nation | News

This weekend's Must Read comes from climateprogress.org, which in turn references top NASA climatologist James Hansen. And while I'm totally aware that climate change is a socialist myth propagated by leftist academics engaged in a conspiracy to bring you increasingly under the government's thumb (do I have that right?) — at least according to studies funded by fossil fuel companies who really have nothing but your best interests in mind, honest — let's see what Hansen has to say, anyway, just for fun (you can download the entire pdf of his paper here):

Finally, a comment on frequently asked questions of the sort: Was global warming the cause of the 2010 heat wave in Moscow, the 2003 heat wave in Europe, the all-time record high temperatures reached in many Asian nations in 2010, the incredible Pakistan flood in 2010? The standard scientist answer is “you cannot blame a specific weather/climate event on global warming.” That answer, to the public, translates as “no”.

However, if the question were posed as “would these events have occurred if atmospheric carbon dioxide had remained at its pre-industrial level of 280 ppm?”, an appropriate answer in that case is “almost certainly not.” That answer, to the public, translates as “yes”, i.e., humans probably bear a responsibility for the extreme event.

In either case, the scientist usually goes on to say something about probabilities and how those are changing because of global warming. But the extended discussion, to much of the public, is chatter. The initial answer is all important.

Although either answer can be defended as “correct”, we suggest that leading with the standard caveat “you cannot blame…” is misleading and allows a misinterpretation about the danger of increasing extreme events. Extreme events, by definition, are on the tail of the probability distribution. Events in the tail of the distribution are the ones that change most in frequency of occurrence as the distribution shifts due to global warming.

For example, the “hundred year flood” was once something that you had better be aware of, but it was not very likely soon and you could get reasonably priced insurance. But the probability distribution function does not need to shift very far for the 100-year event to be occurring several times a century, along with a good chance of at least one 500-year event.

…

Given the dominant effect of El Nino-La Nina on short-term temperature change and the usual lag of a few months between the Nino index and its effect on global temperature, it is unlikely that 2011 will reach a new global record temperature.

In contrast, it is likely that 2012 will reach a record high global temperature. The principal caveat is that the duration of the current La Nina could stretch an extra year, as some prior La Ninas have. Given the association of extreme weather and climate events with rising global temperature, the expectation of new record high temperatures in 2012 also suggests that the frequency and magnitude of extreme events could reach a high level in 2012. Extreme events include not only high temperatures, but also indirect effects of a warming atmosphere including the impact of higher temperature on extreme rainfall and droughts. The greater water vapor content of a warmer atmosphere allows larger rainfall anomalies and provides the fuel for stronger storms driven by latent heat.

(Bold mine.)

Now, of course, Sean Hannity is the true expert on these things, not the NASA guy, and he knows James Hansen is full of shit, because it snowed last winter. At least, the entire GOP thinks so. And this is why we'll never get a sane climate policy.

It's nice outside today. Enjoy it, while you still can.


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Posted by Jeffrey Billman @ 4:14 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
POSTED: Friday, October 1, 2010, 4:40 PM
Filed Under: Sporting Life | Flyered Up!

GOT FAKE GAME? Play fantasy hockey with us! :: The Clog :: Blog … | Fantasy League Fix
Posted 2010-10-01 17:34:53
[...] more from the original source: GOT FAKE GAME? Play fantasy hockey with us! :: The Clog :: Blog …        Share and [...] 
Posted by Patrick Rapa @ 4:40 PM  Permalink | Post a comment
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Here at The Naked City, you'll find breaking news, analysis, gossip and surprises about everything from crime and politics to the beating pulse of city life itself. We're good listeners, too:

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